Presented without comment (for now).
Which QB Threw Four Interceptions in 2003 AFC Championship? – Video Dailymotion.
Tag: Tom Brady
NFL Week 14 Predictions, Rookie QBs on 3rd Down and Writing Recap
With the news out of Dallas on Josh Brent killing teammate Jerry Brown in a drunk-driving accident, this is another NFL weekend with tragedy coming before the games. Hopefully the NFL and really everyone out there can learn lessons from these incidents. How hard is it not to get into a car when you’re drunk? If we are still too stupid to make these decisions, then maybe we need cars that will make them for us.
Something has to change.
Before I get confused for Bob Costas during one of his halftime speeches, onto the usual Saturday recap.
This Week’s Articles
Captain Comeback Week 13: Colts, Steelers Rally to Build Familiar AFC Race – Cold, Hard Football Facts
The Colts were able to rally from a 12-point deficit in the final 4:02 for another stunning comeback victory over the Lions. Pittsburgh surprised everyone with Charlie Batch leading the team to a road win in Baltimore. The two wins shape up yet another AFC playoff picture with the usual suspects. Also: Tony Romo tied Troy Aikman for most 4QC wins in Dallas history (16). He did it by attacking “The Todd Bowles Movement.” This is the most jam-packed edition of Captain Comeback yet with 11 game recaps. It was a good week of games.
Andrew Luck Outclasses Robert Griffin III and Russell Wilson in the Clutch – Bleacher Report
True story: this article originally had a general headline (see URL), but after finishing it, the results were pretty clear: Andrew Luck owns clutch moments in a way no rookie really has. We know all about his five game-winning drives, but his performance on third down, especially third and long, is something we just never see from a young QB. The surprise is just how historically bad RGIII has been at converting on third and long.
The war is clearly raging between these fanbases, so arm yourself with some real data that matters, unless you think throwing a short pass on 3rd and long and punting is good.
Following a Legend: Andrew Luck Week 13 at Detroit Lions – Colts Authority
Find out how Andrew Luck threw 30 incompletions, three interceptions, had a season-high in three-and-out drives, but still managed to grow his legend with another comeback win and career-high four touchdown passes. The young Jedi just had to use the Schwartz.
Yes, Those NFL Offenses Are Better Than Ever – NBC Sports
If the numbers stay on their current pace, then the 2012 NFL season could be the most efficient ever in terms of passing, rushing, kicking and punting, otherwise known as the primary acts of a football game. Details on each category and the record-breaking numbers the league is averaging. It is also the most pass-happy season ever with teams throwing the ball on 57.95 percent of their plays.
The Thinking Man’s Guide: NFL Week 14 Predictions – Bleacher Report
In-depth previews for Raiders/Broncos, Chargers/Steelers, Saints/Giants and Texans/Patriots plus predictions for every game.
Ranking the Random Fumble Luck of NFL Quarterbacks – Cold, Hard Football Facts
Last week we looked at turnover rates using all fumbles. This week I took the lost fumble data that goes back to 1992 and looked at which quarterbacks have the most and least fumble luck, because recoveries are in fact random, and the data bears that out. Tom Brady is completely average (42.5%) in this regard, while Matthew Stafford has only lost four of his 14 fumbles, and Kyle Orton has the worst luck, losing 60% of his fumbles. Finally an updated turnover rate list using fumbles lost is included for the 59 quarterbacks from the last two decades.
2012 NFL Week 14 Predictions
Was there even any doubt on the Thursday game? Peyton Manning has now won at least eight straight games in a season for the seventh time in his career. If only I had his consistency at making these game picks.
Winners in bold:
- Rams at Bills
- Falcons at Panthers
- Cowboys at Bengals
- Chiefs at Browns
- Titans at Colts
- Jets at Jaguars
- Bears at Vikings
- Chargers at Steelers
- Eagles at Buccaneers
- Ravens at Redskins
- Dolphins at 49ers
- Saints at Giants
- Cardinals at Seahawks
- Lions at Packers
- Texans at Patriots
Season results:
- Week 1: 12-4
- Week 2: 11-5
- Week 3: 4-12
- Week 4: 10-5
- Week 5: 10-4
- Week 6: 5-9
- Week 7: 12-1
- Week 8: 10-4
- Week 9: 11-3
- Week 10: 9-4-1
- Week 11: 11-3
- Week 12: 10-6
- Week 13: 8-8
- Season: 123-68-1 (.643)
NFL Week 12 Predictions, Obscure QB Records and Writing Recap
Three games down, 13 to go with no more bye weeks. All three road teams won on Thanksgiving Thursday, which has never happened before. But this 2012 season has been full of things happening for the first time, so it fits.
If it looks like I’m running out of steam for these intros, it’s because I am after usually writing 15,000-20,000 words on the NFL during the week. There’s only so much more you can say.
This Week’s Articles
Captain Comeback Week 11: Houston Texans Lead Overtime Drama – Cold, Hard Football Facts
After no comebacks or game-winning drives in Week 10, we had five this week, including three overtime games. Matt Schaub and the Houston Texans had one of the most prolific offensive performances in NFL history, and that is the Drive of the Week. Also: a bizarre comeback with six turnovers by the Atlanta Falcons, Tampa Bay’s wild comeback in Carolina, Tony Romo ties Roger Staubach in Dallas, and even the Packers do something they have never done before under Mike McCarthy: win a game after trailing after each of the first three quarters.
Tony Romo: Reality vs. Perception Check For Dallas Cowboys’ Quarterback – Bleacher Report
Updating the Tony Romo saga. With a 15-23 (.395) record at fourth-quarter comeback opportunities, Romo now has the same record as Roger Staubach did. But why such the huge difference in clutch perception? Find that out, plus more, including a comparison of Romo’s comebacks to Staubach’s.
Why Are the Lions Always Turkeys on Thanksgiving? – NBC Sports
A look at Thursday and Thanksgiving football in the NFL. The home team was 7-3 on Thursday this season heading into the week, but went a record-first 0-3. Detroit faced the team with the best record in football for the fourth time in the last five years. I saw CBS steal the graphic I used in the table for this article. Thanks, CBS.
Following a Legend: Andrew Luck Week 11 at New England Patriots – Colts Authority
It was a rough four-turnover day for Luck in New England, but not all was bad as he threw for over 300 yards for the record-setting 5th time as a rookie.
The Thinking Man’s Guide: NFL Week 12 Predictions – Bleacher Report
This week we take a detailed look at the three Thanksgiving games, Cleveland’s Super Bowl, Colin Kaepernick going from one extreme to another in terms of defense, and picks for all Week 12 games.
Tom Brady and Other Quarterbacks on Pace to Break Obscure NFL Records – Cold, Hard Football Facts
You know about the record streaks for counting stats like consecutive games with a touchdown pass or 300-yards passing, but what about the pass efficiency streaks for roughly league-average marks like 60.0 percent completions, 7.00 yards per attempt and a 90.0 passer rating? You will be surprised to learn no one has been able to do any of those things for all 16 games in a season. Find out if anyone is on pace this season, and who has come the closest in the past.
2012 NFL Week 12 Predictions
I had Houston, Dallas and New England on Thursday, so I start the week 2-1. A lot of road picks this week.
Winners in bold:
- Bills at Colts
- Broncos at Chiefs
- Falcons at Buccaneers
- Raiders at Bengals
- Seahawks at Dolphins
- Steelers at Browns
- Titans at Jaguars
- Vikings at Bears
- Ravens at Chargers
- 49ers at Saints
- Rams at Cardinals
- Packers at Giants
- Panthers at Eagles
Season results:
- Week 1: 12-4
- Week 2: 11-5
- Week 3: 4-12
- Week 4: 10-5
- Week 5: 10-4
- Week 6: 5-9
- Week 7: 12-1
- Week 8: 10-4
- Week 9: 11-3
- Week 10: 9-4-1
- Week 11: 11-3
- Season: 105-54-1 (.659)
NFL: Elite QB 4th Quarter Comeback Records
After writing the Green Bay Packers equivalent of “You Can’t Handle The Truth” yesterday, there is nothing else to say now about the topic. That was my definitive take on that team until the season starts. (Note: even 300 kind words towards Joe Flacco made it into that lengthy piece).
Here is an exclusive table of career data on 4th quarter comeback opportunities broken down by season for Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Ben Roethlisberger, Eli Manning, and Peyton Manning.
The 1’s at the end of the record for Brees and the Manning brothers are not ties. They are “no decisions”, or games where the QB had a 4QC opportunity, but the team still won the game on a return touchdown. It’s not a comeback win, not a game they lost, so it’s a no decision. They were not included in calculating the win percentage.
- Rodgers has a losing record in each season.
- Everyone else has multiple winning seasons except for Brees, who has one.
- Only the Manning brothers have had consecutive winning seasons; Eli in 2007-08; Peyton in MVP years of 2008-09.
This was only for comebacks. Adding game-winning drives would help boost everyone, but Rodgers would still be well behind.
QB SUCCESSION PLANS
Finally, here is today’s article on the draft failure the Denver Broncos exhibited in taking Brock Osweiler with the No. 57 pick. Lots of history of franchise quarterbacks and their often failed successors in this one.
http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1262751-nfl-draft-futility-brock-osweiler-and-qb-succession-plans
Rest of week: Enough Rodgers, time to put Brett Favre on blast. It wouldn’t be July without Favre.
Captain Comeback: NFL Analysis by Scott Kacsmar 