NFL 2024 Week 17 Predictions: The Longest Week Edition

Well, the NFL is pulling it off. A Week 17 spanning from Wednesday (Christmas) through Monday night with eight different island games is one of the longest weeks in NFL history, and I wouldn’t be surprised if that island game mark is a single-week record.

We have a Saturday tripleheader to thank for it, and I’m not exactly looking forward to spending most of my attention for a day on these games. But at least I already finished season 2 of Squid Game on Netflix.

It’s not that the games are terrible today (Saturday), but the games this week going back to Green Bay’s Monday night win (34-0 vs. Saints) have been terrible. One sided or just downright offensively offensive like Seahawks-Bears was Thursday night. I think some teams are packing it in a bit and some are just waiting for the playoffs to start.

I’ve barely been betting any money on these games and I feel vindicated every time when you see a game like TNF without any touchdowns, or a game like HOU-BAL where no one on the Ravens had more than 2 catches. It’s rough out there.

Save your bankroll for the postseason, folks.

This Week’s Articles

NFL Week 17 Predictions

I nailed it on Christmas with the teams that won Saturday taking care of business again. I’m really starting to believe in a Chiefs-Ravens rematch in the AFC Championship Game.

NE-LAC: Christ, it was a 6-0 game last year and this one is again the Chargers on the road in an early body clock game. For that reason, plus their general inability to score a lot of points, I’m going to hedge and take the Pats to cover. Can see the Chargers winning on a late field goal here or Drake Maye turning the ball over in a 4QC attempt.

DEN-CIN: I know the Bengals are +1800 to make the playoffs but I’d love to see those odds updated if they win this game, because this is the big one with a chance to hand Denver a loss, the team they’re most likely going to have to steal that final wild card from as I like the Chargers to finish 11-6. I think the Bengals win the turnover battle, Joe Burrow’s 250 yard/3 TD pass streak stops, but very much like a Cincy playoff game (which this might be the closest thing they get to one in 2024), they still win with the defense stepping up.

ARI-LAR: The Cardinals absolutely blasted the Rams 41-10 earlier this year in a game where Puka Nacua was out and Cooper Kupp was injured. But the Cardinals are eliminated and the Rams could clinch the division this weekend (but not Saturday night as they need a strength of victory tiebreaker clinched over the weekend). Again, I’ll hedge and say the Cards can keep it close since the Rams have been needing 4QCs the last two weeks in low-volume passing performances for Stafford. But I do expect the Rams to win the game.

DAL-PHI: Really,? You mean that thumbs up from Jalen Hurts didn’t mean he was good enough to finish Sunday and he’ll miss another game too? That’s shocking. But even with Kenny Pickett there, I love Saquon Barkley to have a huge game as his final award push, and the Cowboys shutting down CeeDee should put a damper on Cooper Rush’s first reads against a good defense. Give me the Eagles to still cover.

IND-NYG: Is it Joe Flacco time or Anthony Richardson? I’m not sure it matters given the trash the Giants plan to roll out at quarterback again. The Colts can absolutely blow this, but I think the running game and defense lead to a convincing win.

LV-NO: It doesn’t sound like Derek Carr will get that chance to lose to his 32nd team against the Raiders. But after seeing what the Saints did Monday night, yeah, I’ll just take the Raiders here. Get those Brock Bower stats up.

NYJ-BUF: I think the game being close last time and the Bills looking shaky last week suggests a Jets +9.5 pick. But I’m just going to go against logic and take Buffalo to win by double digits. Might be Allen’s last game to pad his numbers for MVP, so I’d expect as many sneak opportunities at the goal line as possible.

TEN-JAX: Horrid game, but last time I trusted the Titans, they lost 10-6 to this team. Give me Jags for the sweep even if Mason Rudolph should deliver a win Just can’t trust them.

CAR-TB: Last time the game went to overtime before the Bucs pulled it out. Again, logic would say Panthers +8.5 is an easy call but I’m going with the Bucs winning big after slipping up in Dallas. Offense will be stronger.

MIA-CLE: Honestly? I just don’t care without Jameis.

GB-MIN: Great game potential, and I swear the Packers were -1.5 when I did this 24 hours ago. But I do like the Vikings to win again and pull it out in the fourth quarter by coming up with a takeaway or critical stop against Love. Mostly, I’m just rooting hard for the Vikings to win so we get Vikings-Lions on SNF next week to decide the No. 1 seed. That’s the best possible ending to the regular season and we need a MIN win here to get there.

ATL-WAS: Curious to see Penix Jr. in his first prime-time game and only 2nd start. But I’m also banking on Jayden Daniels to back me up with a big game for the MVP talk I’ve been giving him throughout this season.

DET-SF: My favorite spread pick all week is Lions -3.5. I think they’ll go in there seeking revenge for blowing that lead in the title game and kick some ass against a San Francisco team that’s already eliminated and playing a lot of poor football the last month.

Leave a comment